Election, Bears, Bulls, and Uncertainty

The biggest question Matt, Lee, and John receive is how this year's big election will impact the market. In this episode, they break down some data behind election years and the market's performance, both leading up to November 5th and for the rest of the year.

They also discuss how small-caps perform during this time. This leads them into a discussion about bear and bull markets. When does a bear market start or end? How are they defined? And looking at these market cycles is a good reminder that things do not go in a straight line - there are plenty of ups and downs over the years!

Lastly, a recent Goldman Sachs report predicted:
1️⃣ The SP500 will only return a nominal 3% annually in the next 10 years.
2️⃣ It has roughly a 72% probability of trailing bonds and a 33% likelihood of lagging inflation through 2034.
3️⃣ The market will broaden out, with the equal weight SP500 outperforms the cap weighted SP500 by 2-8% annually.

But predictions don't really matter, or do they? What do you think? Overall, there is a growing sense of uncertainty as we approach the 2024 election and what the next 10 years might look like... but that's no reason to panic or be scared!

💬 Comment below if you think market predictions are helpful in your investment planning.

🍿 Watch Next: Last week's episode of No Dumb Questions, featuring John!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BaLaILF9xzw&t=1s

🎙The Market Moment Podcast! Last week's episode...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EQM-G6cfNwA&t=1403s 

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