Market Moment Podcast

This week on the Market Moment, Matt, Eli, and Lee give you the latest U.S. stock updates as the Consumer Price Index was released today, Tuesday, Feb 13th. Notably, we are in an election year, which may have an impact on the market. See this video from Data Brief to learn more! https://youtu.be/HHwF6IA3M-8?si=5r3wkS5_ebpoy81Y

America's credit card debt is making headlines... The average American consumer has $6,360 in credit card debt, and the national total is $1.13 trillion, the highest in history. A professor of public policy studies at the University of Chicago and former acting chair of the White House Council of Economic Affairs said that while one trillion is overwhelming, "the reality is that this figure is expected to ascend." Additionally, the interest on these credit cards has risen. According to Bankrate, the average credit card charges 20.74% interest. This compounds and can easily snowball into an overwhelming burden that cripples Americans.

Eli, Matt, and Lee also discuss Tesla's new humanoid robots that are expected to replace human factory workers. Here is a video illustrating the robots: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpraXaw7dyc

Is this the beginning of the robot apocalypse The panel disagrees. This is progress and the economy will benefit from the cut costs and increase in profits by using these new tools. Agree or disagree? Tell us in the comments!

We love answering your comments and questions. This week's comment was about capitalism.

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

This week’s top stories involve massive layoffs from some of the largest companies in the U.S. and a rising concern of what this could foreshadow, a new lawsuit involving corporate landlords being described as cartels for how they’re charging rent, and Wallstreet is bullish on stocks. John, Eli, and Ashton also dive into a comment’s question about the Chinese and American economies.

Thanks for listening and be sure to drop your question or comment below so the Market Moment can respond in next week’s episode.

This is the article Eli references in the episode: https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2024...

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

The U.S. debt is skyrocketing. It surged to $34,135,530,482,291.88 trillion last week on Thursday according to the Treasury Department, which means it is up $41.1 billion from the previous day. If the U.S. continues on this trajectory, it will nearly double in size over the next three decades and become a burden far exceeding previous levels. John and Lee discuss their opinions on the matter and who's to blame and who could fix it, and if it will be fixed at all. 

 

The U.S. stocks haven't changed much as everyone waits for news from the Fed regarding interest rates, and news concerning the U.S. jobs report. Big tech, however, A.I. and corporate profits are up, which is a good sign for the economy, at the moment. John shares his feelings on what possible consequences we will see in the near future from the COVID payments. 

 

The European Union told Amazon they could not proceed with their acquisition of the company iRobot which makes smart vacuum cleaners. Amazon was looking to expand their in-home smart technology but now that they are not able to proceed with the deal, iRobot has laid off 31% of its workers and struggling. This topic brings up the question of how big does a company get to where it becomes a monopoly, and must be stopped before buying out the competition? 

 

Lee and John also respond to a viewer's question on when exactly the recession started: was it during covid, or are we currently in a recession now, or have we avoided it? 

 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

In this episode, Eli and John touch on the latest stock news, such as the Tech Sector outpacing the S&P500 but some stocks are lagging... A Bank of America survey conducted from Jan 5th-11th showed investors see large-cap companies underperforming small-cap companies in the next twelve months for the first time since June 2021. John and Eli also discuss the issues of U.S. spending, American credit card debt, and its connection to unemployment and a possible recession; and maybe, recessions aren't a bad thing. They conclude with a YouTube comment discussing last week's housing shortage episode and whether "shelter is a human right" or "a need" and what the differences are between the two.

Leave your comments and questions below so they can be featured in next week's episode!

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Matt, John, and Eli discuss the market moment with news of a bipartisan child tax credit change, the housing market starting to ease up, and Burger King bought for $1 billion in cash. Matt, John, and Eli also discuss a recent YouTube comment that sparked an interesting conversation. Remember to leave us comments or questions, or else you'll get a Dad Joke in next week's episode.

 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Third-party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Matt and Lee discuss a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey published on January 8th describing Americans feeling more optimistic about inflation and how inflation truly impacts people's raises. They also touch on the global economy as artificial intelligence and current geo-political tensions rise. TikTok is making headlines as it impacts the economy with consumers rushing to stores for their favorite Stanley Tumbler while trampling others...

 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Matt and John discuss some of the latest headlines from across finance and business news which predict a recession is on the way. They also discuss how the unemployment rate is involved with any potential recession and how a low unemployment rate could be a factor in the lack of entry workers in the service industry. Bitcoin is trending again, and Matt and John dive into it.

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Ashton Davis is a new advisor on the podcast who recently graduated from the University of Arkansas. Her experience as a recent graduate and homeowner lends a fresh perspective to the table and launches a conversation about the up-and-coming generation's outlook on the market. Additionally, Lee, Eli, and Ashton discuss U.S. stock prices and whether interest rates will be cut in 2024. Speaking of 2024, Lee asks the question, "Are delivery drones even profitable?" They are becoming more popular but is it just a fad, or are we seeing the beginning of the new norm? 

 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third-party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Lots of predictions on just how much the Fed might cut rates in 2024. Matt, Lee, and John share their opinions and discuss whether the Fed should cut rates at all. Plus, some Star Wars memorabilia breaks a Guinness world record at auction.

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Charlie Munger, famed business partner of Warren Buffett, passed away last week at the age of 99. Matt, Lee, and Eli take a look back at his legacy and some of his witty words of wisdom. Plus, while investors are eager for policy to relax, the Federal Reserve is warning not to be premature in speculation.

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Some good news/bad news for the holiday shopping season. Black Friday and Cyber Monday saw record sales along with a big uptick in online transactions. But Lee, David, and Eli give their take on the somewhat bleak outlook for the remainder of the shopping season. Plus, Eli gives Lee and David a pop quiz on the housing market. And the guys give their thoughts on the recent market rally as we begin to close out 2023, including how demographics and consumer spending might mean some hope on the horizon.

Learn more about Mach 1 Financial Group

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

This week's special Thanksgiving episode is a little different... Matt and John are joined by Rachel to talk about some interesting facts about Thanksgiving spending. The three discuss family traditions, what they're grateful for, and when it is appropriate to put up your Christmas tree. Plus, they predict the outcomes of this week's NFL games. 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Several outlooks have been released for 2024, and some are calling for a stressful year for the economy. Are these outlooks too bleak, on the money, or something in between? Lee, John, and Eli take a look at these predictions from several different angles.

Learn more about Mach 1 Financial Group by clicking here.

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Stocks are coming off their best week of 2023 as the Fed announces it will hold rates steady and the October jobs report shows fewer added workers than expected. Many investors noticed the shift in the Fed's language and are hoping it might signify their willingness to end rate hikes. Plus, what are you most concerned about as an investor over the next 12 months? A new survey shows the top answer is NOT inflation or rate hikes at all.

Learn more about Mach 1 Financial Group by clicking here.

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Does buying candy for Halloween feel like it's emptying your wallet? A new report shows inflation has hit candy even harder than other grocery items in 2023. Plus, will the UAW deal with the Big 3 automakers come back to haunt consumers? And the Fed is expected not to hike rates this week, but Lee, John, and Eli give their take on whether we should stop caring so much about what the Fed is doing on a weekly basis.

Learn more about Mach 1 by clicking here.

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Matt, Lee, and Eli discuss a big milestone for treasury yields. Plus, General Motors beats third-quarter expectations, but pulls previous earnings guidance for the year in the wake of the UAW strike. And why do some people who "feel" wealthy don't actually believe they're wealthy?

 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

A strong start to earnings season has some wondering whether we're headed for a soft landing. Plus, a lot of uncertainty across the globe has investors concerned. The JPMorgan Chase CEO went as far as to call this possibly the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades. The guys give their take on the bold statement.

Learn more about Mach 1 Financial Group: https://mach-1financial.com/ 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

We're trying something a little different today! We did some digging on TikTok for financial advice and picked five of those videos to show to Matt, Lee, and John. These "financial tips" covered everything from reasons to keep everything in cash to why you shouldn't buy a jet. The guys had no idea ahead of time what videos they'd be watching, so it should be a fun ride!

Learn more about Mach 1 Financial Group: https://mach-1financial.com/ 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

The federal government avoids a shutdown... for now. But what's in store for the market if a new agreement isn't reached when the short-term deal runs out on November 17th? Plus, as many as 40 million Americans now have a student loan payment after the three-plus-year pause comes to an end. Matt, Lee, and Eli discuss why that could have an immediate impact on the economy. And we're learning more about former FTX customers who lost thousands, even millions, in the company's collapse. But many of them say they still believe in crypto.

Learn more about Mach 1 Financial Group: https://mach-1financial.com/ 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/

Matt and Lee are joined by special guest Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist for JP Morgan. Jack gives his take on the path forward for the Federal Reserve, what risk their policies pose for the market, and what sees as policy missteps. He also discusses why he believes fixed income is more appealing than equity investments over the course of the next 12 months and how he defines a quality investment.

Learn more about Mach 1 Financial Group: https://mach-1financial.com/ 

Mach-1 Financial Group, LLC (“Mach-1”) is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser located in Rogers, AR. Mach-1 may only transact business in those states in which it maintains a notice filing, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor does it indicate that the adviser has attained a particular level of skill or ability.  Third party ratings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation. For full disclosures please see https://mach-1financial.com/disclosures/